Spotify’s Stock Flirts With Another All-Time Low Amidst Broader Market Turbulence
Spotify (SPOT) slid back into the 120s on Tuesday amidst a broader market downturn and softened price targets.
Spotify’s ‘disruptive public offering’ is now facing renewed turbulence amidst broader market malaise. While Britain careens towards the Brexit cliff, US markets are displaying uneasiness over Chinese tensions and a possible government shutdown.
None of that is helping Spotify’s valuation on Wall Street.
Just last month, a raft of once-bullish analysts softened their price targets on Spotify. That was largely a response to serious market headwinds, though underlying concerns with Spotify’s cashflow and financial sustainability are also playing into the pricing downgrades.
On one hand, markets love the possibility of Spotify building the next ‘Netflix for music’. But Spotify has a lot of challenges that Netflix doesn’t face, including extremely stiff competition from Apple and an arguably more difficult licensing terrain.
In late November, shares of Spotify (SPOT) briefly slipped to an all-time low of $120, though most investment firms — including Goldman Sachs, Barclays, Wells Fargo, and JPMorgan Chase — have maintained ‘buy’ ratings on the stock despite softening their price targets.
At press time, shares of SPOT were slipping towards the mid-120s, and flirting with recent lows.
Separately, bearish voices continue to predict a broader market downturn in 2019, with Spotify likely to get beaten up by bigger trends.
The performance is a far cry from Spotify’s once-searing valuation, which included a near-$199 price in July. According to some quick math, Spotify has lost nearly $12 billion in market cap since the peak, though major labels Sony Music Entertainment and Warner Music Group smartly pulled out before the plunge.
That shows continued savvy on the major label side as it relates to streaming, with shrewd licensing moves now complemented by some stellar market timing.
Meanwhile, the terrain is extremely foreboding for Spotify imitator Tencent Music, which is now hurtling towards a very risky IPO. The Chinese mega-streamer is hoping for some benevolent IPO timing, though a December offering coupled with serious turbulence makes the situation look dicey.